By Melissa Dorman, February 16, 2021
By Melissa Dorman, February 16, 2021
Redfin published an article stating all time low of inventory in the US. 55% of homes are in contract within 2 weeks!
If you have been out there shopping, you are all too familiar with multiple offer bidding wars. In this rapidly moving market, it’s not uncommon for buyers to offer to pay any difference between the purchase price and the appraisal, should the appraisal come in low. I have seen 10,20, and even 30+ offer situations this past month. Portland has more condos on market than single family homes!
The quick answer is: No. This is a very different market. We have strong underwriting guidelines (unlike 2008) and the demand is high simply because interest rates are so low. In 2008 the demand was high because anyone with a pulse could buy a house; one they couldn’t actually afford. This led to mass foreclosures as many of those subprime loans were tied to adjustable rates that doubled and tripled the mortgage payment in a matter of months. On the contrary, in this market, we have seen a huge wave of first time home buyer’s who have been accustomed to paying rent between $1,500-$2,500 a month who are suddenly very qualified to pay for a 30 year fixed rate mortgage of that same amount. With interest rates at 2.25%-2.75% (for most of the owner occupied loans I have seen closing lately), it is simply very affordable to buy a home. With the rush of buyers, we have a rapidly appreciating market as buyers clammer for their offer to win.
If interest rates start going up again, the monthly mortgage payment swill go up for borrowers and they will not be able to afford as much house. For as long as the government is keeping interest rates artificially low to support the economy as we recover from Covid 19, we will have a strong seller’s market. Unlike 2008, those borrowers who have lost their job in the pandemic and need to sell have lots of equity to do so. We won’t be seeing mass foreclosures and downward pressure on the prices with too much inventory. In fact, I have already sold several homes that were in forbearance and sellers walked away with cash in hand.
For those on the sidelines, waiting for the market to “cool off”, I want to give you some warning. Should interest rates rise, you will be buying when you can afford less home. If you want a nicer house within your monthly budget, now is the time to shop. It’s not easy, but with the right realtor supporting you, you can find the right home and win!